Premier League Odds – What to Expect in EPL Betting
Who wins Premier League 2020/2021?
Premier League Odds, Fixtures, Predictions
As we’re approaching the halfway line in the 2020-21 Premier League campaign, the competition looks tighter than ever, with no clear-cut favourites. Amid COVID restrictions, the holiday fixture congestion has caused a lot of wear and tear on teams.
Let’s not forget that the summer break was considerably shorter than usual affecting fitness levels throughout the league. Add to that the freezing weather, cup games, and international matches, and it looks like we’ll get one of the most unpredictable finishes to a title race in the history of the EPL.
With Liverpool struggling on the road of late, winning just one of their last five away fixtures, their chances of winning back-to-back titles have dropped to the point where the bookies no longer consider them the odds-on favourites.
Manchester City, on the other hand, have been nothing short of spectacular during the festive period. Pep Guardiola’s squad has regained its status as the favourite according to Premier League title odds, after winning three in a row.
Although the favourite tag has gone back and forth between these two teams in recent years, this season seems open for the likes of Manchester United, Tottenham, and Leicester to get back in the mix for the title contention.
At this point in any previous season, one could make a real stab at who would win the league, but now, the football world is utterly clueless about who will come out on top in May.
Take a glance through our EPL outright winner predictions for the 2020-21 season. We present our top picks and explain why we consider these selections to have the most significant chance to seize the Premier League trophy.
After a bad year by their lofty standards, and a slow start to the 2020-21 season, Manchester City are once again the odds-on favourites to win the title. They can be backed at Premier League outright odds of 1.90 with Intertops for title success.
The Sky Blues have made a few signings in the summer, bringing in Nathan Ake to plug defensive leaks. They’ve also added the former Valencia right-winger Ferran Torres, who netted 11 goals in the season so far.
More impressively, City has managed to retain its core, only losing David Silva and Leroy Sane. Overall, they’re a fantastic group of individuals, and a tremendous outfit collectively.
The depth of Guardiola’s squad cannot be matched even by the defending champs, and they’ve bounced back after an abysmal start to pick up three consecutive wins. Their fifth place in the standings may be a bit misleading with the games in hand they have following the recent COVID-19 postponements. Manchester City is currently four points behind Liverpool, having played two games less than most of their rivals.
The Citizens have conceded the fewest goals in the season so far, although their offence has not been as prolific as usual. Guardiola’s boys have been vulnerable to random and unacceptable draws against West Brom and West Ham. Still, their 2:0 loss to the Spurs was their only defeat in any competition since September.
Furthermore, they’ve averaged the second-most shots per possession, allowing the second-fewest shots per possession. They’ve dominated the ball as always and absorbed any counter-attack attempts even with a limited roster.
All things considered, we expect them to reclaim the throne come May.
Last year, Liverpool marched through the Premier League with one of the most impressive displays in EPL history. Throughout the 2019-20 campaign, the Reds amassed a staggering 99 points, ending a 30-year-long league title drought. Klopp’s side broke several records last term, including the fewest matches needed to win the title.
They started the 2020-21 season strong and were the firm favourites to win up until their winless run of three games in late December and early January. A few injuries to a couple of key players have depleted Liverpool’s creative energy on multiple fronts.
The most significant blow to their title aspirations came with Virgin van Dijk’s ACL injury in October’s Merseyside derby at Goodison Park. Following van Dijk’s injury, Klopp was forced to move midfielder Fabinho into defence, which proved to be a pretty effective solution. But he had to dip even further into the well when Joe Gomez suffered a ruptured patella tendon on England duty.
Rising stars like Rhys Williams and Nathaniel Phillips were introduced into the rotation, while Jordan Henderson was moved into the defensive line.
Things have not been much better up the field, with Keita, Henderson, and Alcantara recovering from injuries, while Salah tested positive for COVID-19.
This is a tricky time for Liverpool, who certainly weren’t planning on spending the big bucks on central defenders this year. They still stand atop the table but have played a game more than the second-placed Manchester United.
The team’s dreadful away form is undoubtedly a cause for concern, but it’s only a three-match slump, and there was a lot of bad luck involved. Be that as it may, we believe that Liverpool will not be able to navigate all these setbacks, and will fall short of achieving a rare title repeat. The books have them as second-favourites at 3.75, which is a great price, definitely worth a small punt.
Manchester United had an invigorated end to the 2019-20 EPL campaign, securing a Champions League place in the current season. This has led to a morale boost, which has been missing so desperately at Old Trafford in recent years. The Red Devils have been hungry for titles ever since Sir Alex Ferguson’s departure in 2013 as they have not been competitive since then.
The 2020-21 campaign has been a rollercoaster for Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s side. On Nov 1, they sat at the 15th spot, having lost three of their first six matches. At the same time, they were sitting comfortably at the top of their group in the Champions League, having beaten Leipzig and PSG.
Fast forward two months later, United is getting ready for Europa League play, after getting sacked from the CL, and is behind Liverpool atop the EPL standings on goal difference alone.
Dropping out of the Champions League probably increased Manchester United’s odds of doing well in the Premier League as they will most certainly prioritise the EPL over the Europa League.
Quality-wise, United’s roster is as good as any. The club features several world-class players, including Bruno Fernandez and Marcus Rashford who have played amazingly this season. At the time of writing, Fernandez scored 15 goals and seven assists for the team, and, he was involved in at least one goal in every game he played. We’d be remiss not to mention other quality players like Martial, Pogba, and De Gea.
The only thing that Manchester seems to be lacking is consistency. They have seemed lost in big moments when things don’t go as planned, which was evident in the Champions League loss vs Leipzig. If they can remain consistent all the way to March, we’ll consider them one of the title favourites. United is currently sitting at odds of 8.00 to wrestle back the Premier League crown — a bet well worth taking.
Premier League Underdogs Odds
Tottenhamare at 15.00 odds to win their first title since 1961. They’ve seen their odds fluctuate a great deal during the early stages of the campaign as they’ve been consistently inconsistent. Nine games into the season, they led the pack, but their form has dropped significantly since.
The Spurs have won only one of their previous five encounters, losing twice against their main title rivals, Liverpool and Leicester. Overall, they look like an exciting team to watch under Mourinho, but just don’t have enough firepower to compete against squads from the highest echelon.
Leicester City is flying high at the moment, having beaten Newcastle on the road. This was their seventh win in nine EPL road trips this season, which is the most of any team in the league. They are now just a point behind the leaders Liverpool and Manchester and can be backed at 34.00 odds with most top-tier bookies.
The Foxes are the only team to have cracked the top four outside the so-called Big Six, but could they repeat that success? Only time can tell. Although they are a better team than they were in their heroic 2016-17 run, they’re missing a few key pieces, mostly due to minor injuries they suffered at various points during the season.
Leicester have been without Pereira, Ndidi, Maddison, and Soyuncu for a while, and Brandan Rodgers has tried to compensate by mixing up different formations, leaving their opponents guessing. So far, this strategy has worked nicely. It’s hard to imagine what this team is capable of once they are fully fit and up to speed. We’re expecting great things, that’s for sure.